Predicting Outcomes

Turns out amateurs don't become professionals the day they get paid. On the importance of consistency in accuracy.
Professionals are often portrayed as being paid amateurs but my take on this is that getting payed is only a symptom of being a professional.

If getting payed is only a symptom then what causes someone to be a professional?

A professional is capable of consistently predicting the outcomes of his actions.
An amateur is capable of consistently surprising everyone, including himself.
It's not sure whether it will be a good outcome, or whether it will be a bad outcome, one thing is sure it's that it's not clear what the outcome will be.
Professional's bullseye

Amateur's bullseye

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